South America

ColombiaPress Releases

Colombia: The Betancourt Rescue and Beyond

In spite of Ingrid Betancourt’s extraordinary rescue, the fate of Colombia is unlikely to be any brighter than before unless she accepts a new mission and returns to the public life, and President Alvaro Uribe commits a patriotic act by declining to seek a constitutional change allowing him to run for a third term in 2010.

– Betancourt’s unlikely but “impeccable” rescue may involve less than meets the eye
– Uribe – a divisive figure who may now shine, but reflects Colombia’s deep malaise
– Largely due to its own self interest, U.S. policy is blindly pro-Uribe
– Ingrid Betancourt is a proven quantity, having run a very respectable presidential campaign in 2002

The liberation of Ingrid Betancourt
The liberation of Ingrid Betancourt, three American citizens, and 11 public officials by an elite unit of the Colombian military is one of the gravest blows ever dealt to the FARC in its more than 44 years of armed struggle. Most importantly, the exploit served to reveal the FARC’s institutional weaknesses, their impaired internal communication, and a plummeting public standing, both throughout the region and with the Colombian public. The unlikely incident further discredits the myth that the guerrilla group is a monolithic and impenetrable organization and suggests that the continued viability of the FARC as a coherent initiative is open to doubt.

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This analysis was prepared by COHA Research Associate Erina Uozumi.

Trucker Strike Aims at Panama/Costa Rica Border

The first major disruption of the nine-month-old Costa Rican-Panamanian free trade agreement came on July 6, when approximately 200 truck drivers from Panama, Costa Rica, and other Central American countries paralyzed cargo crossing from Paso Canoas, Panama to Cerro Punta, Costa Rica. The protest, sparked by exorbitant Costa Rican tariffs and taxes, draws attention to the inconsistencies within the current import/export fee system.

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This analysis was prepared by COHA Research Associate Aviva Elzufon.

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BrazilPress Releases

Contemporary Brazilian Government Efforts to Address the Amazon Paradox

Criticism of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s handling of deforestation in the Amazon rainforest by many foreign observers does not consider the severity of Brazil’s need to develop the region’s economy. There is, however, considerable substance to critics’ arguments that his administration repeatedly favors an infrastructural and economic development strategy over a conservationist policy. Nonetheless, the Brazilian president is confronted with a difficult set of circumstances made evident by the bitter debates within Lula’s administration, which came to a head with the May 13 resignation of the dejected Minister of the Environment, Marina Silva.

Although it is difficult to anticipate how Brasília’s current measures will affect deforestation in the Amazon, the most important ecological initiative of Lula’s six-year tenure thus far has been the Plan for a Sustainable Amazon (PAS). The document was originally signed in 2004 and later enhanced in 2007, but its implementation only began this year. It is characteristically more pro-economic development than pro-environmental preservation. However, the PAS and related initiatives such as the 2004 Plan of Action for the Prevention and Control of Deforestation in the Amazon (PPCDAM) could potentially slow deforestation by designating new areas as nature reserves, combating illegal logging and farming, and eradicating falsified land deeds throughout the region. Overall, Brasília deserves some applause for developing a policy that responds to the international outcry against deforestation. Unfortunately, the needs of a growing economy and agricultural sector, in concert with high commodity prices, conflicts markedly with environmental groups’ unwavering commitment to preserving the region crucial to the survival of mankind.

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This analysis was prepared by Research Associate Jared Ritvo.

Peru’s Economic Model and Poverty Reduction: Is It Working?

The relationship between Bolivia and Peru has deteriorated rapidly over the last year, in part because of disagreements on foreign trade issuess. Recently, Peruvian President Alan Garcia and his Bolivian counterpart, Evo Morales, engaged in personal attacks which served to increase tensions between the two Andean nations. On July 2nd, Garcia attacked Morales by saying the latter was jealous of Peruvian economic growth. Maybe Garcia has a point in observing that Peru’s economic growth is more robust than Bolivia’s, but economic growth is not necessarily the ultimate objective for a country; more important may be the satisfaction of its citizens, which in Peru is trending downward because of growing inequality.

In its chronic struggle against poverty, Latin America has experimented with various economic models. These have included the neoliberal policies of the 1980s and 1990s, which have led to increased inequality. Some see neoliberal failures as responsible for the leftist wave that has spread across the region. Peru, however, is one of the two countries in Latin America that have not been tempted recently by solutions calling for the abandonment of the neoliberal development model.

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This analysis was prepared by Research Associate Guillermo Cornejo.

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ParaguayPress Releases

Duarte’s Resignation in Paraguay: A Final Blow to Stability and Accountability

Paraguay’s ongoing internal unrest, a direct result of current president Nicanor Duarte Frutos’ submission of his resignation on 23 June 2008, may end up shattering the fragile alliance that president-elect Fernando Lugo has managed to cobble together during the past few months. Lugo’s success is contingent upon the durability of the Alianza Patriótica para el Cambio (APC), the center-left coalition formed under the Partido Liberal Radical Autentico (PLRA)’s leadership involving ten smaller parties. Prominent senator Alfredo Luis Jaeggli’s resignation from the PLRA signals the deteriorating health of the coalition.

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This analysis was prepared by COHA Research Associate Jessica Bryant.

A Selection of Recent COHA Citations

Hostage rescue will likely reinforce U.S. ties

FARC in negotiations to demilitarize

15 Colombian Hostages Rescued in Daring Operation

McCain Heads Today for Colombia, Where Adviser Has Long Had Ties

• COHA Director Larry Birns interviewed by Donald Lacy on KPOO 89.5 FM San Fransisco regarding the Implications of Betancourt’s Rescue on the Future of FARC on July 5, 2008

• COHA Research Associate Erina Uozumi interviewed on Al-Jazeera Breaking News Covering Ingrid Betancourt’s Rescue from FARC on July 2, 2008

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