Two hundred years of Argentina, seven years of Kirchnerism

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Since its independence from Spain, Argentina has experienced two British invasions, a series of illegitimate governments, the Peronist movement, a dictatorship that cost 30,000 lives, the Falklands War and a neo-liberal economy during the 1990s followed by a major economic default. Today, as Argentina celebrates its bicentennial anniversary, the political debates in the country are not very different from those faced by its founding fathers. The country still suffers from conflicts between the oligarchy and the poor (many near starvation) which have thwarted President Cristina Fernández’s left-wing political project. It will be interesting to see if Cristina Fernández’s increased popularity following the incredible bicentennial celebrations will help her husband, former president Néstor Kirchner, win a second term in the presidential election next year.

A Revolutionary May

May 25th commemorates the date in 1810 when Virreinato del Río de la Plata (Argentina’s former name) refused to continue as a Spanish colony and initiated its revolution. An anniversary provides an opportunity to evaluate the history of a country, draw comparisons, learn from mistakes, and gauge if the country is progressing in the right direction. As Argentina celebrates its bicentennial, some look to the past to evaluate whether Argentina is doing better or worse than when it celebrated the centennial. Others look to the future, particularly to the presidential elections that will take place in 2011. Most media reports from Argentina have acknowledged that the bicentennial celebrations had such a large turnout and were so successfully carried out that the image of Cristina Fernández Kirchner has not only improved, but is likely to help her husband win the presidency once again for their Front for Victory coalition of the Partido Justicialista.

“Juan Domingo Perón would have fallen in love with Cristina,” said Argentine national deputy Dante Gullo at the Argentine Embassy in Washington, D.C. After seeing Cristina Fernández Kirchner open the Bicentennial celebrations in Buenos Aires, one could clearly see her similarity to Evita Perón (although she prefers to be compared to Hillary Clinton). Speaking in front of six million people, the biggest turnout for a public event in the history of Argentina, Cristina Kirchner became emotional when she expressed her happiness about being president during the Bicentennial. With the whole country involved and all of the Argentine provinces represented, the five-day celebration consisted of a parade, concerts, and a tango show. The parade reviewed the history of the country, including the 1976-1983 dictatorship, the Abuelas de Plaza de Mayo, and the Falklands War. The President received and was praised by the heads of state of several Latin American countries, including: Hugo Chávez (Venezuela), Lula da Silva (Brazil), Evo Morales (Bolivia), and even the former president of Honduras, Manuel Zelaya.

Although the commemoration showed a united Argentine people waving flags, the celebrations did illustrate the tense relationship between the government and the opposition. Cristina Fernández did not attend the reopening of the famed Teatro Colon, which had been under renovation. The Colon is a landmark of the centenary anniversary and the golden age of Argentina, when the country used to be the world’s eighth most important economic power. Cristina Fernandez’s absence from the re-inauguration brought attention to her disagreements with Mauricio Macri, who was in charge of the event. Macri is the mayor of the city of Buenos Aires as well as the most important opposition leader.

A country in decline

During the 20th century, like most of its Latin American counterparts, Argentina sampled different economic models. Its economy moved from the neo-colonial agroexport model to Perón’s import substitution industrialization, to the dismantling of the state that started with the 1976 dictatorship and continued through the 1990s with the Washington Consensus’s structural adjustments.

During the 1990s, Argentina was governed by President Carlos Menem, who faultlessly followed the neoliberal recipes of the Washington Consensus. He privatized most of Argentina’s resources and industries as well as increased the foreign debt to the Paris Club, an informal organization founded in 1956 to negotiate Argentina’s and other countries’ external debt, running it up to US $4.5 million. While the United States spoke of Argentina as a positive economic example to other nations, the truth is that the gap between the rich and the poor was getting wider and wider. In 2001, during Fernando de la Rúa’s presidency, the country fell into a crisis: the Argentina peso devaluated and through the “corralito” measure, created by Minister of Economy Domingo Cavallo, people were not able to access their bank accounts. The country was left with economic downturn, inflation, social unrest, lack of institutional credibility, poverty, and unemployment.

Portrait of a woman

Néstor Kirchner, who became president in 2003, is a disciple of the dependency theory school, maintaining a neo-developmentalist ideology: adistrust in international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and a support of the country’s fiscal autonomy, particularly based on the advance of state-planned industrialization. Because of his policies and when his wife, Cristina Fernández, ran for president, the comparison to the political couple of Perón and “Evita” became even stronger.

In 2009, Cristina, or “Queen Cristina,” as Argentines call her, was chosen as one of the most powerful women in the world by Forbes magazine, and the Argentine’s rural as well as urban based oligarchy has considered her a threat since her inauguration. Fernández first became involved with the Partido Justicialista (founded by Juan Domingo Perón) while studying at university. In 1975, Fernández married Néstor Kirchner, who would be president of Argentina from 2003 to 2007. Fernández went on to become a senator for the province of Santa Cruz and then for Buenos Aires Province in 2005. She was the first elected female president of Argentina—winning with 45.3% of the vote in 2007. In general, Cristina has received support from the unions and the rural poor.

Continuing her husband’s project, Fernández sought to nationalize all of the formerly state-owned business and industries, which had been the pride of Argentina before they were privatized /(in a corruption-tainted process) through the ten year (1989 to 1999) government of ex-president Carlos Menem. She bought back Aerolíneas Argentinas (Argentinean Airlines), the retirement funds that had been privatized, and the oil company YPF (Yacimientos Petrolíferos Fiscales). With the plan “Patria Grande,” she gave citizenship to the large number of indocumentados, immigrants from neighboring countries who go to Argentina to work illegally in professions such as live-in maids and construction workers. She also continued the trials against the military for crimes against humanity committed during the 1976-1983 dictatorship.

By the time Fernández became president in 2007, a “dissident Peronist,” or right wing faction had emerged within the Partido Justicialista. This dissident movement is embodied by businessman-turned politician Mauricio Macri, executive director of Argentina’s most famous soccer team, Boca Juniors, leader of the PRO party and the mayor of Buenos Aires. Another important opponent is Elisa “Lilita” Carrió, from the Civic Coalition, which is commonly supported by the middle classes.

The Old Oligarchy

In March 2008, a major event brought to light the social cleavage in Argentine society. The Minister of Ecomonics, Martín Lousteau, announced the 125 Resolution: the government would increase the taxes on agricultural exports, mainly soybeans, sunflower, wheat and corn. For the last decade, Argentina has been extensively growing transgenic soybeans because of their high profit rate in the international market, thus becoming the third biggest producer in the world and the first of soybean oil. The focus on soybean production in the country has produced desertification, deforestation, environmental threats due to the danger of using transgenic products, and a crisis in the meat and milk industries. In Argentina, 3.7% of producers own 40% of the land. When the 125 Resolution was announced, the Argentine oligarchy replied with a 129- day lock-out (when employers prevent employees from working) by farming associations. In response to this, Cristina made a memorable speech in which she claimed that people in Argentina need to stop thinking of themselves as owners of a country, but as part of the country. Finally, on June 17th, 2008, President Fernández proposed that Congress should vote on the 125 Resolution. The vote was a tie until the vice-president, Julio Cobos, voted against it. This caused a significant internal conflict in the Kirchner’s Front for Victory coalition and revealed a Congress that did not closely follow the president’s political agenda.

Another major controversy occurred in August 2009, when Fernández’s proposed law for media ownership was extremely criticized by the powerful Grupo Clarín, a business group which controls most of Argentina’s media. Up until this point, media ownership was still ruled by laws instituted during the dictatorship. Ever since the beginning of her government, Fernández has had a tense relationship with Clarín. Their relationship worsened after Fernández forced Ernestina Herrera de Noble, director of Clarín and largest shareholder of the media conglomerate, to submit a DNA sample in order to prove that the children that she adopted during the dictatorship were not stolen from their parents.

The most recent barrier to Fernández’s agenda appeared this year when she created the “Bicentennial Fund” with money from the Argentinean Central Bank. The fund was created for domestic financing of public spending in order to pay interest on the external debt and deal with the effects of the 2008 global financial crisis. Martín Redrado, president of the Central Bank, was dismissed by presidential decree when he opposed the Bicentennial Fund for using foreign exchange reserves. The opposition claimed that the Central Bank is autarkic and that the reserves are not supposed to be used for commercial purposes, but to keep the value of currency. Cristina explained that there is virtually no country in the world with an external debt that is not following these policies. Still,the plan was denied by Congress.

Regarding foreign policy, Fernández has struck an anti-imperialist note and has kept a close relationship with most Latin American presidents, especially Hugo Chávez. She just inaugurated the “Latin American Patriots” wing in the Casa Rosada, while delivering a speech calling for the solidarity among Latin American countries. Her government’s relationship with the United States grew stronger with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s visit in March of this year, when Clinton congratulated the president for the measures taken to reduce the external debt. On February 3rd of this year, the Argentina Foreign Service claimed that Great Britain was not entitled to extract oil from the Falklands. Fernández managed to get support from Hillary Clinton and thirty-two Latin American countries in her campaign against the UK by arguing that its presence in the Falklands Islands represents a neo-colonial enclave in the 21st century.

Upcoming presidential elections

According to Deputy Dante Gullo, Argentina is just now recovering from the Washington Consensus, which left the country an “orphan.” Still, the Kirchner couple is finding it hard to get the support of the middle classes. After all of Fernández’s obstructed attempts to propel a political agenda, one wonders whether Néstor Kirchner has a reasonable shot at winning the presidential elections in October 2011. His image suffered a big blow in the June 2009 legislative elections when he lost the position of National Deputy for the Province of Buenos Aires to Union PRO’s Francisco De Narváez. However, after the bicentennial celebrations, the Partido Justicialista claims that Néstor Kirchner is the best candidate for president. He has also improved his image by becoming the Secretary General of UNASUR, the newly founded Latin American economic trade bloc.

With the World Cup just starting, political parties are going through their preliminary round to choose their presidential candidate, aware of the fact that the world’s attention will be consumed by soccer for a whole month. Taking advantage of the Bicentennial celebrations for political campaigning, Cristina made sure to wear a hat that read “President Kirchner 2011” for the cameras.

Joining the leftist wind that is blowing through many other countries in Latin America, the Kirchners represent a substantial change in Argentine politics. The question is whether the couple’s days are counted, or whether they will manage to tame their fierce opposition to do her bidding.